Thursday, April 2, 2015

How India is finally adopting Mr Lee’s strategic pragmatism

By C Raja Mohan

April 2

[This explains why India declared a day of mourning for LKY, and flew their state flag at half-mast on 29 Mar 2015.]

Delhi was irritated, if not angered, when Mr Lee Kuan Yew held up a harsh mirror to India’s self-defeating economic and foreign policies in the 1970s and 1980s. Personally close to the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty, Mr Lee privately advised them to be more pragmatic and publicly criticised India’s failures. Mr Lee’s trenchant critique, however, was rooted in a genuine affection for India, clear recognition of its potential to shape the economic and political order in Asia and the world and deep frustration at Delhi’s seeming inability to act in self-interest.

India’s economic slumber, its perpetual domestic chaos and the temptation of its political elite to blame democracy for all its ills had some influence on Mr Lee, who held that democracy and development were incompatible, at least in the early stages of nation-building. As India evolved in the later decades, Mr Lee’s impatience yielded to better appreciation of its complex internal dynamics and the role of democracy in managing them.

SCEPTICAL BUT SUPPORTIVE

Delhi’s reluctance to lend military assistance to Singapore when it became independent disappointed Mr Lee. If he saw India as the successor to the British Raj in providing security to smaller Asian states, he was deeply surprised by Delhi’s lack of a strategic ambition and inability to engage in regional realpolitik. Mr Lee was also critical of India’s policy of non-alignment and steady drift towards the Soviet Union from the 1970s. He was deeply concerned about the impact of India’s closeness to Moscow on South-east Asia’s security environment in the 1980s.

When India embarked on the path of economic liberalisation and globalisation at the turn of the 1990s, Mr Lee was sceptical but supportive. He was not confident that India could easily shed the burdensome legacy of state socialism accumulated since independence and quickly construct a liberal economic order at home. He met all the Indian leaders in the reform era, from the late Narasimha Rao to Mr Narendra Modi, frequently visited India and continually encouraged them to press ahead with reforms. Despite many setbacks to Singapore’s own commercial engagement with India, Mr Lee never gave up hope for India’s economic transformation.

In the early 1990s, India also sought to catch up with the economic dynamism in South-east Asia that it once looked down upon. Rather than turn its back on India, Singapore became one of the strongest advocates of India’s integration with Asia. India’s former Prime Minister Rao articulated the Look East Policy in his Singapore Lecture (1994) that Mr Lee presided over. More than a decade later, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh publicly thanked Singapore for holding India’s hand at a difficult moment and facilitating its integration with all the Association of South-east Asian Nations-led (ASEAN) institutions, including the ASEAN Regional Forum and the East Asia Summit.

As India began to generate higher economic growth rates in the 1990s, Mr Lee was increasingly confident that India’s rise was inevitable. He also saw it playing a crucial role in stabilising an Asian balance of power amid the rise of China and the strategic vacillations of America. In 2007, he noted that India was not seen as a threatening power in South-east Asia, essentially because of the nature of its political system, thereby tempering some of his earlier critique of Indian democracy.

REDEFINING INDIA’S REGIONAL ROLE

Mr Lee’s greatest contribution was probably to make Singapore loom very large on India’s economic and foreign-policy radar since the 1990s.

His calls on Delhi over the decades to lift the heavy hand of bureaucracy, avoid economic populism and claim a leadership role in Asia were long rejected by the Indian political elite. Today, those ideas are very central to Indian discourse.

While few in the Indian intellectual or policy elite agree with Mr Lee’s critique of democracy, his emphasis on good governance, eliminating the scourge of corruption and sustaining communal harmony are widely accepted today as critical for the nation’s progress towards peace and prosperity.

Mr Lee’s stress on pragmatism and deep suspicion of ideologies of all kinds now resonate with an ever larger number of the Indian political elite. Many state Chief Ministers such as Mr Chandrababu Naidu of Andhra Pradesh and Mr Manohar Parrikar of Goa as well as Prime Minister Narendra Modi have absorbed Mr Lee’s ideas in developing their own approaches to governance. It is a pity Mr Lee will not be around to see how Mr Modi, who perhaps comes closest to his notions of pragmatism, might take India forward.

As he opened up Singapore to India’s talented professionals and growing middle classes, the city state has acquired an extraordinary salience in Delhi’s world view that is way above its size and weight. In the process, Mr Lee has helped India rediscover its historical connections to Asia and renew its acquaintance with greater China. If modern Singapore was seen by the British Raj two centuries ago as a vital link in the trade between India and China and between the Indian and Pacific oceans, Mr Lee actively egged on Delhi to cultivate a practical relationship with Beijing and end the prolonged stagnation in bilateral relations.

If Mr Lee and Singapore want India to be more engaged in Asia, Mr Modi has renamed the Look East Policy to Act East Policy. This is not merely a change in nomenclature, but the reflection of a new commitment to contribute to the maintenance of the Asian security order.

Unlike his predecessors, Mr Modi is eager to strengthen the security partnerships with the United States and its allies in Asia, develop middle-power coalitions and lend support to weaker states. At the same time, Mr Lee would also be pleased with Mr Modi’s decision to discard many of India’s past inhibitions on economic cooperation with China.

If India in the past had no time for Mr Lee’s suggestion that Delhi must claim the mantle of the Raj in securing Asia, it now declares itself as a “net security provider” in the Indian Ocean and the Asia-Pacific region. Though the country would never move at a pace that Mr Lee would have liked, it has begun to advance, thanks to its adoption of strategic pragmatism that the founder of modern Singapore never stopped recommending for India.


ABOUT THE AUTHOR:

C Raja Mohan is a distinguished fellow at the Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi, and heads its strategic studies programme. He is adjunct professor at the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, and a visiting research professor at the Institute of South Asian Studies, National University of Singapore. This commentary first appeared in RSIS Commentaries.

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